Roll On: June 2008

Wednesday, June 25, 2008

Bathroom

Well, I got a call from our friend Mark this morning. He is going to be here Monday to start on our bathroom and other basement tasks!! I am so excited. With 5 people in the house it sure will be nice having a second bathroom. I will be posting pictures next month.

Saturday, June 14, 2008

100 year flood

Ok, I had no idea what all this talk about the 500 year flood plan was. This is the defination for 100 year. And now we know.

100-year flood
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

A one-hundred-year flood is calculated to be the level of flood water expected to be equaled or exceeded every 100 years on average. The 100-year flood is more accurately referred to as the 1% flood, since it is a flood that has a 1% chance of being equaled or exceeded in any single year. Based on the expected flood water level, a predicted area of inundation can be mapped out. This floodplain map figures very importantly in building permits, environmental regulations, and flood insurance.
It should be noted that a 100-year flood has approximately a 63.4% chance of occurring in any 100-year period, not a 100 percent change of occurring. The probability of a certain-size flood occurring during any period can be calculated using PT = 1 – (1-Pf)n where PT is the probability of occurrence for the entire period; Pf is the probability of occurrence in any single year; and n is the number of years. Ten-year floods have a 10% chance of occurring in any given year (Pf =0.10); 500-year have a 0.2% chance of occurring in any given year (Pf =0.002); etc. The percent chance of an X-year flood occurring in a single year can be calculated by dividing 100 by X.
The field of extreme value theory was created to model rare events such as 100-year floods for the purposes of civil engineering.
100-year floods caused by over a week of continuous heavy rains ravaged Europe in 2002.

PS- I have talked to different members of my family and everyone and their properties are fine and away from the crest. Thanks for everyone's concern.